Bushs Final Exam
Monday, January 8th, 2007President Bush has a major speech to make this week on Iraq, one that will undoubtedly overshadow his State of the Union speech several weeks later. The President will unveil his strategy, which is expected to entail new political, military and economic steps to win the war.
There is strong indication that he will call for a surge or escalation of at least 20K more troops in Iraq.
Look at the changes made or to be made:
Militarily, Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld has been replaced by Robert Gates.
Moreover, Generals Casey and Abizaid, both of whom have been opposed to an increase in troop numbers, have been replaced by General Petraeus and Admiral Fallon as Iraqi Field Commander and Central Military Commander (Iran and Afghanistan) respectively. The latter are both proponents for the escalation of our war efforts in Iraq.
Politically, Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki is now saying that he is willing to suppress any illegal militia activity, regardless of the sectarian origin. Is this to include Shi’ite leader Muqtada al-Sadr? He is now willing to consider benchmarks. Did I say benchmarks?
Diplomatically, Director of Intelligence John Negroponte is being moved to the State Department next in line under Rice. Negroponte will be replaced by retired Admiral Mike McConnell, an experienced military intelligence officer. Also, US Ambassador to Iraq Zalmay Khalilzad is being named US Ambassador to the UN replacing John Bolton. Khalilzad will be replaced by Ryan Crocker, experienced diplomat currently US Envoy to Pakistan.
Economically, Bush plans to earmark more funds for infrastructure reconstruction efforts.
Thus Bush continues to emphasize a military solution to his Iraq quagmire, a strategy that has already failed, and that the American people, in my view, will be most skeptical, mirroring the heavy anti-Bush Iraq War statement made in the election in which Bush took a “thumping”.
The President has to show in his speech that suddenly he has become competent and that there is yet hope.
This time there will be much needed Congressional oversight. Cherrypicking will no longer work. Propaganda will be minimized. The truth will be forced out.
There will be no place in his speech for his incessant cheerleading. Substance now really matters. This will be his biggest sales job ever, since he has to leap over his history of failures with a presentation based on substance, not fluff.
Let us hear what he has to say, on Wednesday. I for one will be listening very intently!